Army
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 78.3900Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 829 H Tarleton St 27-30 906 A Kansas St B12 ( 6- 5, 82.6) 24-21 920 H No Texas AME (12- 2, 82.8) 38-45 925 A Ea Carolina AME ( 9- 4, 81.3) 6-28 1004 A UAB AME ( 4- 8, 68.2) 31-13 1011 H Charlotte AME ( 1-11, 49.9) 24- 7 1018 A Tulane AME (11- 3, 82.0) 17-24 1101 A Air Force MIDW ( 5- 8, 72.4) 20-17 1108 H Temple AME ( 5- 7, 71.4) 14-13 1122 H Tulsa AME ( 4- 8, 67.6) 25-26 1129 A UTSA AME ( 7- 5, 77.0) 27-24 1213 N Navy AME (10- 2, 78.8) 16-17 1227 N UConn IND ( 9- 4, 74.4) 41-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 A Kansas St 24-21 3 -10 +++ 12.50
920 H No Texas 38-45 -7 1 --- -7.89
925 A Ea Carolina 6-28 -22 -8 -- -5.84
1004 A UAB 31-13 18 5 +++ 9.11
1011 H Charlotte 24- 7 17 34 0.00
1018 A Tulane 17-24 -7 -9 1.88
1101 A Air Force 20-17 3 1 + 2.26
1108 H Temple 14-13 1 12 --- -11.27
1122 H Tulsa 25-26 -1 16 --- -15.00
1129 A UTSA 27-24 3 -4 +++ 6.87
1213 N Navy 16-17 -1 0 -0.59
1227 N UConn 41-16 25 4 +++ 10.02
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 H No Texas 38-45 -7 1 --- -7.89 1108 H Temple 14-13 1 12 --- -11.27 1122 H Tulsa 25-26 -1 16 --- -15.00 925 A Ea Carolina 6-28 -22 -8 -- -5.84 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 906 A Kansas St 24-21 3 -10 +++ 12.50 1004 A UAB 31-13 18 5 +++ 9.11 1129 A UTSA 27-24 3 -4 +++ 6.87 1227 N UConn 41-16 25 4 +++ 10.02 1101 A Air Force 20-17 3 1 + 2.26 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Kansas St ( 6- 5, 82.6) 24-21 -17.27 33.95 5.26 1.06 83.32
3 H No Texas (12- 2, 82.8) 38-45 -17.14 34.07 -5.26 1.06 -11.90
3 A Ea Carolina ( 9- 4, 81.3) 6-28 -18.61 32.61 5.26 1.06 -7.09
3 A UAB ( 4- 8, 68.2) 31-13 -31.66 19.56 5.26 1.06 52.73
3 H Charlotte ( 1-11, 49.9) 24- 7 -50.04 1.18 -5.26 1.06 -8.67
3 A Tulane (11- 3, 82.0) 17-24 -17.89 33.33 5.26 1.06 -6.71
3 A Air Force ( 5- 8, 72.4) 20-17 -27.51 23.71 5.26 1.06 61.56
3 H Temple ( 5- 7, 71.4) 14-13 -28.52 22.70 -5.26 1.06 37.06
3 H Tulsa ( 4- 8, 67.6) 25-26 -32.29 18.93 -5.26 1.06 -19.95
3 A UTSA ( 7- 5, 77.0) 27-24 -22.90 28.32 5.26 1.06 71.36
3 N Navy (10- 2, 78.8) 16-17 -21.10 30.12 -0.00 1.06 -11.21
3 N UConn ( 9- 4, 74.4) 41-16 -25.49 25.73 -0.00 1.06 54.67
------
295.16
|
winning pts = 352.0259 losing points = -56.8631
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------